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Ecuador · Serie A

23 Jul 2026 21:30 UTC

LEONES DEL NORTE vs GUAYAQUIL CITY

Awaits result

Last goal: Guayaquil City

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Pablo Gonzalez — Guayaquil City

Model prediction

Weak
39%
1X2
Guayaquil City
Weak
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Risky
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Weak
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Good
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
6%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 60 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 349 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 404 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 35 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 66% (Strong)
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
273 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
230 predictions
Total 1.5 34% (Weak)
158 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
271 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
346 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
385 predictions

Match preview