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Ecuador · Serie A

23 Jul 2026 00:00 UTC

MANTA vs LDU DE QUITO

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: LDU de Quito

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Sebastian Gonzalez (straight red) — LDU de Quito
  2. ⚽ Michael Estrada — LDU de Quito

2nd half

  1. ⚽ José Angulo — Manta

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 28% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 130 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 349 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 401 completed matches.

1X2 28% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 98 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 49% (Average)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 28% (Weak)
130 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
227 predictions
Total 1.5 34% (Weak)
155 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
268 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
343 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
382 predictions

Match overview