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Ecuador · Serie A

21 Jul 2026 21:30 UTC

LIBERTAD vs DELFIN

Final 1:0

Libertad won Last goal: Libertad

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Orlín Quiñónez — Libertad

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Delfin
90-minute result: Libertad
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
12%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 59 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 346 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 401 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 98 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
271 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
227 predictions
Total 1.5 34% (Weak)
155 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
268 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
343 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
382 predictions

Match overview