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Ecuador · Serie A

22 Jul 2026 19:00 UTC

CSD MACARA vs DEPORTIVO CUENCA

Final 3:0

CSD Macara won Last goal: CSD Macara

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Franco Posse — CSD Macara

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Gian Nardelli (straight red) — Deportivo Cuenca
  2. ⚽ Franco Posse — CSD Macara
  3. ⚽ Jordán Mohor — CSD Macara

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: CSD Macara
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 129 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 347 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 402 completed matches.

1X2 28% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 96 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 28% (Weak)
130 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
228 predictions
Total 1.5 34% (Weak)
156 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
269 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
344 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
383 predictions

Match overview