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Ecuador · Serie A

22 Jul 2026 21:30 UTC

INDEPENDIENTE DEL VALLE vs TECNICO UNIVERSITARIO

Awaits result

Last goal: Independiente del Valle

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Júnior Sornoza — Independiente del Valle

Model prediction

Good
45%
1X2
Independiente del Valle
Weak
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Risky
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Weak
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Good
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
8%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 49% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 108 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 347 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 402 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 98 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
272 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
228 predictions
Total 1.5 34% (Weak)
156 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
269 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
344 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
383 predictions

Match preview