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Ecuador · Serie A

22 Jul 2026 00:00 UTC

UNIVERSIDAD CATOLICA vs BARCELONA SC

Final 2:1

Universidad Catolica won Last goal: Universidad Catolica

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ José Fajardo — Universidad Catolica

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jhonnier Chalá — Barcelona SC
  2. ⚽ Eric Valencia — Universidad Catolica

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Universidad Catolica
90-minute result: Universidad Catolica
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
12%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 49% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 108 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 347 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 399 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 94 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
270 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
225 predictions
Total 1.5 34% (Weak)
153 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
266 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
341 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
380 predictions

Match overview