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Bulgaria · A PFG · First Professional League

19 Jul 2026 16:30 UTC

BOTEV VRATSA vs CHERNO MORE VARNA

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Botev Vratsa

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Vasil Panayotov — Cherno More Varna
  2. ⚽ Martin Petkov — Botev Vratsa

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Botev Vratsa
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 51% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 85 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 293 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 371 completed matches.

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 91 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 49% (Average)
268 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
182 predictions
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
263 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
145 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
303 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
349 predictions

Match overview