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Bulgaria · A PFG · First Professional League

21 Jul 2026 18:30 UTC

BOTEV PLOVDIV vs PFC LOKOMOTIV SOFIA 1929

Final 1:1 Almanac Moment

Draw Last goal: Botev Plovdiv

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Dimitar Kostadinov — PFC Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
  2. ⚽ Carlos Meotti — Botev Plovdiv

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
10%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 103 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 295 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 372 completed matches.

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 88 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 36% (Weak)
103 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
183 predictions
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
264 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
226 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
304 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
350 predictions

Match overview