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Bulgaria · A PFG · First Professional League

18 Jul 2026 18:15 UTC

LUDOGORETS RAZGRAD vs LOKOMOTIV PLOVDIV

Final 1:0

Ludogorets Razgrad won Last goal: Ludogorets Razgrad

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ivaylo Chochev — Ludogorets Razgrad

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
90-minute result: Ludogorets Razgrad
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 70 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 291 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 369 completed matches.

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 89 past matches

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 49% (Average)
266 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
181 predictions
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
262 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
144 predictions
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
301 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
347 predictions

Match overview