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Bulgaria · A PFG · First Professional League

17 Jul 2026 18:15 UTC

LEVSKI SOFIA vs DUNAV RUSE

Final 2:1

Levski Sofia won Last goal: Dunav Ruse

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Kristian Dimitrov — Levski Sofia

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Akram Bouras — Levski Sofia
  2. ⚽ Denislav Minchev — Dunav Ruse

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Levski Sofia
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
12%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 101 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 289 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 367 completed matches.

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 43 past matches

1X2 63% (Good)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 36% (Weak)
101 predictions
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
179 predictions
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
260 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
223 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
299 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
345 predictions

Match overview