← Back to matches

Bulgaria · A PFG · First Professional League

17 Jul 2026 16:00 UTC

SPARTAK VARNA vs CSKA 1948

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: CSKA 1948

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Georg Stojanovski — Spartak Varna
  2. ⚽ Joey Tshitoku — Spartak Varna

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mamadou Diallo (penalty) — CSKA 1948
  2. ⚽ Frederic Maciel — CSKA 1948

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 101 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 289 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 367 completed matches.

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 88 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 36% (Weak)
101 predictions
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
179 predictions
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
260 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
223 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
299 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
345 predictions

Match overview