← Back to matches

Bulgaria · A PFG · First Professional League

25 Jul 2026 16:00 UTC

CSKA 1948 vs BOTEV VRATSA

Final 2:1

CSKA 1948 won Last goal: CSKA 1948

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Florian Krebs — CSKA 1948

2nd half

  1. Martin Petkov — Botev Vratsa
  2. Atanas Iliev — CSKA 1948

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 46% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 50 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 297 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 375 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 91 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
270 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
189 predictions
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
267 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
228 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
306 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
353 predictions

Match overview