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Iceland · Besta Deildin · Besta deildin

12 Jul 2026 20:05 UTC

FH HAFNARFJORDUR vs VALUR

Final 2:0

FH Hafnarfjordur won Last goal: FH Hafnarfjordur

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Gils Gislason — FH Hafnarfjordur
  2. ⚽ Gils Gislason — FH Hafnarfjordur

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
FH Hafnarfjordur
90-minute result: FH Hafnarfjordur
Off target
61%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 58% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 26 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 174 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 228 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 46% (Average)
Total 4.5 61% (Good)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 73 past matches

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 47% (Average)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
194 predictions
Both teams to score 68% (Strong)
147 predictions
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
194 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
152 predictions
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
85 predictions
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
180 predictions

Match overview