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Iceland · Besta Deildin · Besta deildin

19 Jul 2026 14:00 UTC

IBV VESTMANNAEYJAR vs KA AKUREYRI

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Andre Roemer — KA Akureyri

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Omar Sowe — IBV Vestmannaeyjar
  2. ⚽ Birgir Baldvinsson — KA Akureyri
  3. 🟥 Omar Sowe (straight red) — IBV Vestmannaeyjar
  4. ⚽ Vicente Valor (penalty) — IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
90-minute result: Draw
Solid call
61%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
23%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
4:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 57% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 56 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 181 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 235 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 46% (Average)
Total 4.5 61% (Good)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 74 past matches

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 65% (Good)
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 42% (Weak)
Total 4.5 53% (Average)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
201 predictions
Both teams to score 69% (Strong)
153 predictions
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
200 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
158 predictions
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
89 predictions
Total 4.5 35% (Weak)
49 predictions

Match overview