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Iceland · Besta Deildin · Besta deildin

12 Jul 2026 18:00 UTC

KR REYKJAVIK vs IBV VESTMANNAEYJAR

Final 5:2

KR Reykjavik won Last goal: IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Omar Sowe — IBV Vestmannaeyjar
  2. ⚽ Aron Sigurdarson (penalty) — KR Reykjavik
  3. ⚽ Arnór Ingvi Traustason — KR Reykjavik

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Aron Sigurdarson — KR Reykjavik
  2. ⚽ Orri Hrafn Kjartansson — KR Reykjavik
  3. ⚽ Eidur Saebjoernsson — KR Reykjavik
  4. ⚽ Vicente Valor (penalty) — IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
KR Reykjavik
90-minute result: KR Reykjavik
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
43%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
58%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 56% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 55 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 174 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 228 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 46% (Average)
Total 4.5 61% (Good)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 72 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 44% (Weak)
Total 4.5 49% (Average)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
194 predictions
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
81 predictions
Total 1.5 26% (Weak)
34 predictions
Total 2.5 36% (Weak)
76 predictions
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
143 predictions
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
180 predictions

Match overview