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Iceland · Besta Deildin · Besta deildin

13 Jul 2026 19:15 UTC

BREIDABLIK vs KEFLAVIK

Final 2:1

Breidablik won Last goal: Breidablik

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Alpha Conteh — Keflavik

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jonatan Gudni Arnarsson — Breidablik
  2. ⚽ Kristinn Jonsson — Breidablik

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Keflavik
90-minute result: Breidablik
Solid call
61%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 28% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 25 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 178 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 232 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 46% (Average)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 50 past matches

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 66% (Strong)
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
198 predictions
Both teams to score 68% (Strong)
150 predictions
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
197 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
155 predictions
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
87 predictions
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
184 predictions

Match overview