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Iceland · Besta Deildin · Besta deildin

18 Jul 2026 19:15 UTC

VALUR vs FRAM REYKJAVIK

Final 2:3

Fram Reykjavik won Last goal: Valur

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Lukas Logi Heimisson — Valur
  2. ⚽ Freyr Sigurdsson — Fram Reykjavik
  3. ⚽ Haraldur Einar Asgrimsson — Fram Reykjavik
  4. ⚽ Fred Saraiva — Fram Reykjavik

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Lukas Logi Heimisson — Valur
  2. 🟥 Bjarni Antonsson (2nd yellow) — Valur

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Fram Reykjavik
90-minute result: Fram Reykjavik
Solid call
61%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
20%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 8 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 179 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 233 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 46% (Average)
Total 4.5 61% (Good)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 74 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 61% (Good)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
199 predictions
Both teams to score 68% (Strong)
151 predictions
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
198 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
156 predictions
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
88 predictions
Total 4.5 33% (Weak)
48 predictions

Match overview