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Iceland · Besta Deildin · Besta deildin

06 Jul 2026 19:15 UTC

KEFLAVIK vs FRAM REYKJAVIK

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Keflavik

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kennie Chopart — Fram Reykjavik
  2. ⚽ Stefan Ljubicic — Keflavik

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Fram Reykjavik
90-minute result: Draw
Solid call
61%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
23%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
2:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 50 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 173 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 227 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 47% (Average)
Total 4.5 61% (Good)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 47 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
Total 4.5 62% (Good)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
193 predictions
Both teams to score 68% (Strong)
146 predictions
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
193 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
151 predictions
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
84 predictions
Total 4.5 34% (Weak)
47 predictions

Match overview