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Iceland · Besta Deildin · Besta deildin

12 Jul 2026 18:00 UTC

FRAM REYKJAVIK vs THOR AKUREYRI

Final 6:1

Fram Reykjavik won Last goal: Fram Reykjavik

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Freyr Sigurdsson — Fram Reykjavik
  2. ⚽ Aegir Jarl Jonasson — Fram Reykjavik
  3. ⚽ Ágúst Hlynsson — Thor Akureyri

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Haraldur Einar Asgrimsson — Fram Reykjavik
  2. ⚽ Haraldur Einar Asgrimsson — Fram Reykjavik
  3. ⚽ Kristofer Konradsson — Fram Reykjavik
  4. ⚽ Jakob Bystroem — Fram Reykjavik

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Thor Akureyri
90-minute result: Fram Reykjavik
Solid call
61%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
10%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 6:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 24 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 174 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 228 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 46% (Average)
Total 4.5 61% (Good)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 49 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
194 predictions
Both teams to score 68% (Strong)
147 predictions
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
194 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
152 predictions
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
85 predictions
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
180 predictions

Match overview