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Kazakhstan · Premier League

12 Jul 2026 14:00 UTC

FC ASTANA vs AKTOBE

Final 3:2

FC Astana won Last goal: FC Astana

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Dmitriy Shomko — FC Astana
  2. ⚽ Giorgi Zaria — Aktobe

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Artur Shushenachev — Aktobe
  2. ⚽ Ivan Basic — FC Astana
  3. ⚽ Stanislav Basmanov — FC Astana

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Aktobe
90-minute result: FC Astana
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
12%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 57 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 233 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 289 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 74 past matches

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
209 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
131 predictions
Total 1.5 31% (Weak)
86 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
171 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
242 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
263 predictions

Match overview