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Kazakhstan · Premier League

18 Jul 2026 12:00 UTC

OKZHETPES KOKSHETAU vs ZHETYSU TALDYKORGAN

Final 2:0

Okzhetpes Kokshetau won Last goal: Okzhetpes Kokshetau

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Dmitri Borodin (penalty) — Okzhetpes Kokshetau

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Marko Zivanovic (straight red) — Zhetysu Taldykorgan
  2. Tokhtar Zhangylyshbay — Okzhetpes Kokshetau

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 81 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 236 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 292 completed matches.

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 76 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)
81 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
159 predictions
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
204 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
118 predictions
Total 3.5 28% (Weak)
47 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
266 predictions

Match overview