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Kazakhstan · Premier League

11 Jul 2026 12:00 UTC

IRTYSH PAVLODAR vs ZHENIS

Final 0:1

Zhenis won Last goal: Zhenis

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Marko Jevtic (own goal) — Zhenis

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Zhenis
90-minute result: Zhenis
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 56 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 33% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 230 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 286 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 54 past matches

1X2 52% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
208 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
155 predictions
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
200 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
117 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
239 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
260 predictions

Match overview