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Kazakhstan · Premier League

12 Jul 2026 13:00 UTC

ULYTAU vs KAISAR KYZYLORDA

Final 1:0 Almanac Moment

Ulytau won Last goal: Ulytau

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Hiroki Harada — Ulytau

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Ulytau
90-minute result: Ulytau
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
13%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 55% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 85 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 233 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 289 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 72 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
209 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
131 predictions
Total 1.5 31% (Weak)
86 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
171 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
242 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
263 predictions

Match overview