ATYRAU vs FC YELIMAY
Model Context
Match prediction context
Probability in similar matches
33% (Weak)
How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).
Based on 57 past matches with this goal margin in this league.
Draw likelihood
32% (High)
Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.
Based on 233 finished matches in this league.
League
Historical model performance in this league before this match date.
Based on 289 completed matches.
1X2
45% (Average)
Both teams to score
51% (Average)
Total 1.5
57% (Good)
Total 2.5
49% (Average)
Total 3.5
68% (Strong)
Total 4.5
81% (Strong)
Score
9% (Weak)
Teams
This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.
Based on 74 past matches
1X2
36% (Weak)
Both teams to score
53% (Average)
Total 1.5
51% (Average)
Total 2.5
45% (Weak)
Total 3.5
66% (Strong)
Total 4.5
81% (Strong)
Score
5% (Weak)
Markets
This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.
1X2
45% (Average)
209 predictions
Both teams to score
48% (Average)
131 predictions
Total 1.5
31% (Weak)
86 predictions
Total 2.5
52% (Average)
171 predictions
Total 3.5
76% (Strong)
242 predictions
Total 4.5
88% (Strong)
263 predictions