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Kazakhstan · Premier League

11 Jul 2026 13:00 UTC

ZHETYSU TALDYKORGAN vs ALTAI SEMEY

Final 0:1

Altai Semey won Last goal: Altai Semey

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ibragim Dadaev (penalty) — Altai Semey

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Altai Semey
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 78 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 33% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 230 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 286 completed matches.

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 53 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 49% (Average)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 36% (Weak)
78 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
155 predictions
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
200 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
169 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
239 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
260 predictions

Match overview