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Kazakhstan · Premier League

12 Jul 2026 15:00 UTC

TOBOL KOSTANAY vs OKZHETPES KOKSHETAU

Final 3:1

Tobol Kostanay won Last goal: Okzhetpes Kokshetau

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Askhat Tagybergen — Tobol Kostanay

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Rayan Senhadji — Tobol Kostanay
  2. ⚽ Luis Guerra — Tobol Kostanay
  3. ⚽ Dmitri Borodin — Okzhetpes Kokshetau

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Tobol Kostanay
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 80 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 233 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 289 completed matches.

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 75 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)
80 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
158 predictions
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
203 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
171 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
242 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
263 predictions

Match overview