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01 Jun 2026 22:00 UTC

PONTE PRETA vs BOTAFOGO SP

Final 0:0

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

🟥 Diego Tavares (straight red) — Ponte Preta

2nd half

🟥 Luis Phelipe (2nd yellow) — Ponte Preta

Model predictions were

39%

1X2

Draw

Result: Draw

48%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No

70%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under

55%

Total 2.5

Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under

73%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

89%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 119 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 375 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 311 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)

Both teams to score 49% (Average)

Total 1.5 54% (Average)

Total 2.5 55% (Good)

Total 3.5 73% (Strong)

Total 4.5 91% (Strong)

Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 37 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)

Both teams to score 38% (Weak)

Total 1.5 59% (Good)

Total 2.5 49% (Average)

Total 3.5 65% (Good)

Total 4.5 81% (Strong)

Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)

119 predictions

Both teams to score 50% (Average)

167 predictions

Total 1.5 66% (Strong)

216 predictions

Total 2.5 60% (Good)

217 predictions

Total 3.5 80% (Strong)

277 predictions

Total 4.5 94% (Strong)

301 predictions

Match overview

Post-match review for Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP. The match ended 0-0 in Brazil · Serie B. The model favored Draw with a marginal edge (39.3%).

The final result matched the model’s primary prediction. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 90.7% of matches across a sample of 311 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 37.8% in a sample of 37 team involvements.

Several market indicators held up, while others were not confirmed by the match result. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (70.1%) came in as a high-confidence indicator and did not land. Over 2.5 goals (55%) was identified as a low-confidence signal and was confirmed by the match.

Both teams to score (48.2%) did not land. Even when the main prediction misses, underlying data can still highlight key match patterns. Used with league and team context, this post-match review supports clearer decision-making for upcoming fixtures.

PONTE PRETA vs BOTAFOGO SP

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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