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Brazil · Serie B

30 May 2026 21:00 UTC

ATHLETIC CLUB vs FORTALEZA

Final 1:0

Athletic Club won Last goal: Athletic Club

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ian Luccas — Athletic Club

Model predictions were

As expected
37%
1X2
Fortaleza
Result: Athletic Club
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 44 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 367 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 302 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 38 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 66% (Strong)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
184 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
138 predictions
Total 1.5 27% (Weak)
90 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
210 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
269 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
293 predictions

Match overview

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