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31 May 2026 19:00 UTC

CEARA vs OPERARIO FERROVIARIO

Final 1:2 Almanac Moment

Operario Ferroviario won Last goal: Operario Ferroviario

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Melk — Ceara

2nd half

⚽ Boschilia — Operario Ferroviario
⚽ Gabriel Feliciano — Operario Ferroviario
🟥 Fernandinho (2nd yellow) — Ceara
🟥 Lucas Lima (2nd yellow) — Ceara

Model predictions were

37%

1X2

Operario Ferroviario

Result: Operario Ferroviario

48%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

65%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

45%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

73%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

89%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 45 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 371 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 306 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)

Both teams to score 48% (Average)

Total 1.5 54% (Average)

Total 2.5 55% (Average)

Total 3.5 73% (Strong)

Total 4.5 91% (Strong)

Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 39 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)

Both teams to score 46% (Average)

Total 1.5 41% (Weak)

Total 2.5 51% (Average)

Total 3.5 79% (Strong)

Total 4.5 90% (Strong)

Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)

187 predictions

Both teams to score 50% (Average)

165 predictions

Total 1.5 66% (Strong)

213 predictions

Total 2.5 43% (Weak)

92 predictions

Total 3.5 80% (Strong)

273 predictions

Total 4.5 94% (Strong)

297 predictions

Match overview

Final result breakdown for Ceara vs Operario Ferroviario. The match ended 1-2 in Brazil · Serie B. Pre-match projections pointed to Operario Ferroviario with a weak indicator at 36.6%.

The outcome aligned with the model’s expectation. Market-level signals were consistent and accurate across the settled lines. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (64.8%) appeared as a balanced signal and held up in the final outcome.

Over 2.5 goals (44.6%) came in as a low-confidence signal and was correctly identified. Both teams to score (48.2%) held up in the final outcome. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 90.9% of matches across a sample of 306 games.

Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 46.2% in a sample of 39 team involvements. The model output remains a useful reference when combined with match context. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.