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30 May 2026 19:00 UTC

AVAI FC vs CRICIUMA

Final 1:2

Criciuma won Last goal: Avai FC

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Rómulo Otero — Criciuma

2nd half

⚽ Fellipe Mateus — Criciuma
⚽ Paulo Vitor — Avai FC

Model predictions were

39%

1X2

Draw

Result: Criciuma

48%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

65%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

56%

Total 2.5

Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over

73%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

89%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

10%

Score

1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 118 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 367 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 302 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)

Both teams to score 48% (Average)

Total 1.5 54% (Average)

Total 2.5 55% (Average)

Total 3.5 73% (Strong)

Total 4.5 91% (Strong)

Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)

Both teams to score 34% (Weak)

Total 1.5 51% (Average)

Total 2.5 61% (Good)

Total 3.5 75% (Strong)

Total 4.5 90% (Strong)

Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)

118 predictions

Both teams to score 49% (Average)

164 predictions

Total 1.5 66% (Strong)

212 predictions

Total 2.5 60% (Good)

210 predictions

Total 3.5 80% (Strong)

269 predictions

Total 4.5 94% (Strong)

293 predictions

Match overview

Match result and prediction analysis for Avai FC vs Criciuma. The match ended 1-2 in Brazil · Serie B. The model favored Draw with a marginal edge (39.3%).

While the winner prediction missed, other signals held up well. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 90.7% of matches across a sample of 302 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 34.4% in a sample of 61 team involvements.

Several market indicators held up, while others were not confirmed by the match result. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (64.8%) was identified as a moderate expectation and was correctly identified. Over 2.5 goals (56.4%) appeared as a fairly even projection and was not confirmed.

Both teams to score (48.2%) aligned with the result. Even when the main prediction misses, underlying data can still highlight key match patterns. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

AVAI FC vs CRICIUMA

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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