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Brazil · Serie B

31 May 2026 14:00 UTC

LONDRINA EC vs VILA NOVA

Final 0:1

Vila Nova won Last goal: Vila Nova

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Iago Teles (straight red) — Londrina EC

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Pedro Romano (2nd yellow) — Vila Nova
  2. André Luís — Vila Nova
  3. 🟥 André Dhominique (2nd yellow) — Londrina EC

Model predictions were

Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
17%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 25% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 8 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 371 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 306 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 36 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 97% (Strong)
Score 17% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
187 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
141 predictions
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
213 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
214 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
273 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
297 predictions

Match overview