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30 May 2026 23:30 UTC

SPORT RECIFE vs NAUTICO

Final 2:0

Sport Recife won Last goal: Sport Recife

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Chrystian Barletta (penalty) — Sport Recife

2nd half

⚽ Chrystian Barletta — Sport Recife

Model predictions were

37%

1X2

Sport Recife

Result: Sport Recife

48%

Both teams to score

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No

28%

Total 1.5

Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over

56%

Total 2.5

Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under

73%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

89%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

15%

Score

1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 79 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 367 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 302 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)

Both teams to score 48% (Average)

Total 1.5 54% (Average)

Total 2.5 55% (Average)

Total 3.5 73% (Strong)

Total 4.5 91% (Strong)

Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 13 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 46% (Average)

Both teams to score 54% (Average)

Total 1.5 46% (Average)

Total 2.5 62% (Good)

Total 3.5 69% (Strong)

Total 4.5 92% (Strong)

Score 15% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)

184 predictions

Both teams to score 46% (Average)

138 predictions

Total 1.5 27% (Weak)

90 predictions

Total 2.5 60% (Good)

210 predictions

Total 3.5 80% (Strong)

269 predictions

Total 4.5 94% (Strong)

293 predictions

Match overview

Post-match review for Sport Recife vs Nautico. The match ended 2-0 in Brazil · Serie B. The model favored Sport Recife with a weak indicator (36.6%).

The outcome aligned with the model’s expectation. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 90.7% of matches across a sample of 302 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 53.9% in a sample of 13 team involvements.

Market-level signals were partially accurate across the main goal-related markets. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (27.6%) was identified as a weak indicator and was not confirmed. Over 2.5 goals (56.4%) held up in the final outcome, both teams to score (48.2%) aligned with the result.

Overall, the statistical signals still provided useful context for interpreting the match. This prediction analysis remains most effective when result context, market outcomes, and team tendencies are read together.

SPORT RECIFE vs NAUTICO

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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