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Israel · Ligat ha'Al · Ligat HaAl Championship Group

23 May 2026 18:00 UTC

BEITAR JERUSALEM vs HAPOEL TEL AVIV

Final 1:1 Almanac Moment

Draw Last goal: Beitar Jerusalem

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Brayan Carabalí (2nd yellow) — Beitar Jerusalem

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Omri Altman (penalty) — Hapoel Tel Aviv
  2. ⚽ Uri Dahan — Beitar Jerusalem

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 20% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 60 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 228 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 223 completed matches.

1X2 22% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 22% (Weak)
50 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
127 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
176 predictions
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
99 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
169 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
196 predictions

Match overview