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Israel · Ligat ha'Al · Ligat HaAl Relegation Group

18 May 2026 17:00 UTC

HAPOEL JERUSALEM FC vs IRONI TIBERIAS

Final 0:2

Ironi Tiberias won Last goal: Ironi Tiberias

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Niv Gotlieb — Ironi Tiberias

2nd half

  1. Wahib Habiballa — Ironi Tiberias

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
51%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 21% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 58 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 221 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 216 completed matches.

1X2 23% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 26% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 23% (Weak)
48 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
123 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
171 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
120 predictions
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
52 predictions
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
189 predictions

Match overview