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Israel · Ligat ha'Al · Ligat HaAl Relegation Group

18 May 2026 17:00 UTC

HAPOEL IRONI KIRYAT SHMONA vs FC ASHDOD

Final 2:3

FC Ashdod won Last goal: Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Nehoray Dabush — FC Ashdod
  2. ⚽ Jwan Al Halabi — Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Hayford Adu Boahen — FC Ashdod
  2. ⚽ Avishay Cohen — FC Ashdod
  3. ⚽ Adrián Ugarriza — Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Favorite
45%
1X2
Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona
90-minute result: FC Ashdod
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
7%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 53% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 19 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 221 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 216 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
168 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
93 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
171 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
120 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
164 predictions
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
189 predictions

Match overview