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Israel · Ligat ha'Al · Ligat HaAl Championship Group

23 May 2026 18:00 UTC

HAPOEL BEER SHEVA vs MACCABI HAIFA

Final 2:5

Maccabi Haifa won Last goal: Maccabi Haifa

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ethane Azoulay — Maccabi Haifa
  2. ⚽ Eitay Hazout (penalty) — Hapoel Beer Sheva
  3. ⚽ Ethane Azoulay — Maccabi Haifa

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Guy Melamed — Maccabi Haifa
  2. ⚽ Guy Melamed — Maccabi Haifa
  3. ⚽ Mohamad Kanaan — Hapoel Beer Sheva
  4. ⚽ Guy Melamed — Maccabi Haifa

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Favorite
45%
1X2
Hapoel Beer Sheva
90-minute result: Maccabi Haifa
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
6%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:5

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 49% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 63 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 228 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 223 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 67% (Strong)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
173 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
127 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
176 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
124 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
169 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
196 predictions

Match overview