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Israel · Ligat ha'Al · Ligat HaAl Championship Group

19 May 2026 17:30 UTC

HAPOEL BEER SHEVA vs MACCABI TEL AVIV

Final 4:2

Hapoel Beer Sheva won Last goal: Hapoel Beer Sheva

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Igor Zlatanovic (penalty) — Hapoel Beer Sheva
  2. ⚽ Dor Peretz (penalty) — Maccabi Tel Aviv
  3. ⚽ Kings Kangwa — Hapoel Beer Sheva
  4. ⚽ Kervin Andrade — Maccabi Tel Aviv

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Zahi Ahmed — Hapoel Beer Sheva
  2. ⚽ Igor Zlatanovic — Hapoel Beer Sheva

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
45%
1X2
Hapoel Beer Sheva
90-minute result: Hapoel Beer Sheva
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
10%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 43% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 30 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 225 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 220 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 69% (Strong)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
170 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
125 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
174 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
122 predictions
Total 3.5 47% (Average)
53 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
193 predictions

Match overview