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Israel · Ligat ha'Al · Ligat HaAl Championship Group

23 May 2026 15:00 UTC

HAPOEL PETAH TIKVA vs MACCABI TEL AVIV

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Hapoel Petah Tikva

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Raz Shlomo — Maccabi Tel Aviv
  2. ⚽ Yonatan Cohen (penalty) — Hapoel Petah Tikva

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Dor Peretz — Maccabi Tel Aviv
  2. ⚽ Mamady Diarra — Hapoel Petah Tikva

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Underdog
45%
1X2
Hapoel Petah Tikva
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 45% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 31 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 228 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 223 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
173 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
96 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
176 predictions
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
99 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
169 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
196 predictions

Match overview