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Israel · Ligat ha'Al · Ligat HaAl Championship Group

19 May 2026 17:30 UTC

MACCABI HAIFA vs HAPOEL TEL AVIV

Final 4:1

Maccabi Haifa won Last goal: Maccabi Haifa

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Xande Silva — Hapoel Tel Aviv
  2. ⚽ Trivante Stewart — Maccabi Haifa

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Guy Melamed — Maccabi Haifa
  2. ⚽ Ethane Azoulay — Maccabi Haifa
  3. ⚽ Niv Michael Gabay — Maccabi Haifa

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Underdog
45%
1X2
Maccabi Haifa
90-minute result: Maccabi Haifa
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 49% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 61 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 225 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 220 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
170 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
95 predictions
Total 1.5 30% (Weak)
46 predictions
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
98 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
167 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
193 predictions

Match overview