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France · Ligue 1

17 May 2026 19:00 UTC

LORIENT vs LE HAVRE

Final 0:2

Top match Le Havre won Last goal: Le Havre

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Abdoulaye Faye (own goal) — Le Havre

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Issa Soumaré · assist Sofiane Boufal — Le Havre

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
44%
1X2
Lorient
90-minute result: Le Havre
No surprise
37%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
64%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 48% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 92 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 304 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 293 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 65 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
217 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
188 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
247 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
170 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
202 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
251 predictions

Match overview