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France · Ligue 1

17 May 2026 19:00 UTC

NANTES vs TOULOUSE

Awaits result

Lineups confirmed Top match

Model prediction

Good
44%
1X2
Nantes
Risky
37%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Strong
82%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Weak
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Good
64%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
10%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 52% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 50 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 304 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 293 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
217 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
105 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
247 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
123 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
202 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
251 predictions

Match preview