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France · Ligue 1

17 May 2026 19:00 UTC

LILLE vs AUXERRE

Final 0:2

Top match Auxerre won Last goal: Auxerre

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Lassine Sinayoko — Auxerre

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Lassine Sinayoko · assist Gideon Mensah — Auxerre

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
44%
1X2
Lille
90-minute result: Auxerre
Lucky hit
37%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
On point
82%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
64%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 52% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 50 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 304 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 293 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 64 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
217 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
105 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
247 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
123 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
202 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
251 predictions

Match overview