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France · Ligue 1

17 May 2026 19:00 UTC

STRASBOURG vs MONACO

Final 5:4

Top match Strasbourg won Last goal: Strasbourg

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Lamine Camara — Monaco
  2. ⚽ Martial Godo · assist Julio Enciso — Strasbourg
  3. ⚽ Lamine Camara · assist Simon Adingra — Monaco
  4. ⚽ Ansu Fati · assist Aladji Bamba — Monaco

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ismaël Doukouré (own goal) — Monaco
  2. ⚽ Diego Moreira · assist Julio Enciso — Strasbourg
  3. ⚽ Sebastian Nanasi · assist Diego Moreira — Strasbourg
  4. ⚽ Sebastian Nanasi · assist Julio Enciso — Strasbourg
  5. ⚽ Martial Godo · assist Diego Moreira — Strasbourg

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
46%
1X2
Monaco
90-minute result: Strasbourg
No surprise
37%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
6%
Score
0:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 10 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 304 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 293 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 64 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
217 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
105 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
247 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
170 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
202 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
251 predictions

Match overview