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France · Ligue 1

17 May 2026 19:00 UTC

LYON vs LENS

Final 0:4

Top match Lens won Last goal: Lens

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Wesley Saïd · assist Kyllian Antonio — Lens
  2. ⚽ Wesley Saïd · assist Amadou Haidara — Lens
  3. ⚽ Florian Sotoca · assist Florian Thauvin — Lens

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Florian Thauvin · assist Andrija Bulatovic — Lens

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

No surprise
29%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Lens
No surprise
37%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
45%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
45%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
3:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 20% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 90 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 304 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 293 completed matches.

1X2 22% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 64 past matches

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 64% (Good)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 22% (Weak)
76 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
188 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
247 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
170 predictions
Total 3.5 27% (Weak)
91 predictions
Total 4.5 5% (Weak)
42 predictions

Match overview