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Estonia · Meistriliiga

09 May 2026 14:00 UTC

PARNU JK VAPRUS vs NARVA TRANS

Final 2:0

Parnu JK Vaprus won Last goal: Parnu JK Vaprus

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Henri Vaelja (penalty) — Parnu JK Vaprus

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kevin Aloe — Parnu JK Vaprus

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
Favorite
51%
1X2
Parnu JK Vaprus
90-minute result: Parnu JK Vaprus
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 64% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 47 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 14% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 156 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 134 completed matches.

1X2 53% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 52 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 53% (Average)
101 predictions
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
84 predictions
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
109 predictions
Total 2.5 69% (Strong)
74 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
90 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
114 predictions

Match overview