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Estonia · Meistriliiga

16 May 2026 11:30 UTC

NARVA TRANS vs FLORA TALLINN

Final 0:3

Flora Tallinn won Last goal: Flora Tallinn

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Sergei Zenjov — Flora Tallinn
  2. ⚽ Sergei Zenjov — Flora Tallinn

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Sander Alamaa — Flora Tallinn

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
45%
1X2
Flora Tallinn
90-minute result: Flora Tallinn
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
54%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
3:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 47% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 34 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 14% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 161 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 138 completed matches.

1X2 53% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 52 past matches

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 53% (Average)
105 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
88 predictions
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
113 predictions
Total 2.5 68% (Strong)
78 predictions
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
44 predictions
Total 4.5 15% (Weak)
20 predictions

Match overview