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Estonia · Meistriliiga

16 May 2026 14:00 UTC

HARJU JALGPALLIKOOL vs PARNU JK VAPRUS

Final 1:2

Parnu JK Vaprus won Last goal: Parnu JK Vaprus

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Kristjan Kriis — Harju Jalgpallikool
  2. ⚽ Joosep Poder — Parnu JK Vaprus

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Enriko Kajari (2nd yellow) — Harju Jalgpallikool
  2. ⚽ Matthias Limberg — Parnu JK Vaprus

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Favorite
45%
1X2
Harju Jalgpallikool
90-minute result: Parnu JK Vaprus
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 52% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 25 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 14% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 161 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 139 completed matches.

1X2 53% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 54 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 53% (Average)
106 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
51 predictions
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
114 predictions
Total 2.5 36% (Weak)
61 predictions
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
95 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
119 predictions

Match overview