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Estonia · Meistriliiga

15 May 2026 16:00 UTC

TAMMEKA vs NOMME UNITED

Final 3:1

Tammeka won Last goal: Tammeka

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Muhammed Hydara — Tammeka
  2. ⚽ Mathias Palts — Nomme United

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Patrick Veelma — Tammeka
  2. ⚽ Tristan Koskor — Tammeka

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Nomme United
90-minute result: Tammeka
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 58% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 19 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 14% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 160 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 138 completed matches.

1X2 53% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 37 past matches

1X2 54% (Average)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 59% (Good)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 53% (Average)
105 predictions
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
50 predictions
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
113 predictions
Total 2.5 37% (Weak)
60 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
94 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
118 predictions

Match overview