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Estonia · Meistriliiga

10 May 2026 14:00 UTC

NOMME UNITED vs PAIDE LINNAMEESKOND

Final 2:3

Paide Linnameeskond won Last goal: Nomme United

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Daniel Cabral (penalty) — Paide Linnameeskond
  2. ⚽ Pa Modou Sohna — Paide Linnameeskond

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Henri Anier — Paide Linnameeskond
  2. ⚽ Benjamine Chisala — Nomme United
  3. ⚽ Andre Frolov (penalty) — Nomme United

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Nomme United
90-minute result: Paide Linnameeskond
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
11%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 65% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 48 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 14% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 158 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 136 completed matches.

1X2 53% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 35 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 57% (Good)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 53% (Average)
103 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
86 predictions
Total 1.5 85% (Strong)
111 predictions
Total 2.5 68% (Strong)
76 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
92 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
116 predictions

Match overview