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Estonia · Meistriliiga

02 May 2026 14:00 UTC

PARNU JK VAPRUS vs NOMME UNITED

Final 2:3

Nomme United won Last goal: Nomme United

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ricky Chanda — Nomme United
  2. ⚽ Mark Lepik — Parnu JK Vaprus

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Henri Vaelja (penalty) — Parnu JK Vaprus
  2. ⚽ Benjamine Chisala — Nomme United
  3. ⚽ Zakaria Beglarishvili — Nomme United

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Nomme United
90-minute result: Nomme United
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
54%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
14%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 56% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 18 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 14% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 153 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 131 completed matches.

1X2 53% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 35 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 53% (Average)
98 predictions
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
83 predictions
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
107 predictions
Total 2.5 68% (Strong)
73 predictions
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
43 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
111 predictions

Match overview